The race:Conventional wisdom favors Mary-Louise Parker in this very tight category, but we think Dana H.'s Deirdre O'Connellhas a solidchanceto pull off a surprise win. 2023 Gold Derby Media, LLC. It's an. But not with the shady noise complaint. The 2022 Tony Awards will be presented on Sunday, June 12, in two ceremonies across the. BC: It's nice to get an easy one! Take Me Out 9/2 With just under a week left before the Tonys, the time has come for Vultures official, absolutely 100 percent correct, not-at-all-stab-in-the-dark predictions. Why:I imagine voters will go with the Best Play favorite, which did manage to evoke many eras of financial history within a single office set and those shifts in lighting. Billy Crystal, Lowell Ganz and Babaloo Mandel, Although everyone loves Hugh Jackman, there's not much excitement over his all-too-untroubled turn in, Conventional wisdom favors Mary-Louise Parker in this very tight category, but we think, admit to a certain amount of wishful thinking in that regard: O'Connell gave the single most memorable performance of the season, bar none. Variety is a part of Penske Media Corporation. It does seem right to end thiswith an award for the Stephen Sondheim musical. (We still think Austin Pendleton should have been nominated forThe Minutes, but what can you do. Host Roy Wood Jr. and President Biden made a case for why this goofy event is important. Ilana Keller: If ever there was a season for an ensemble Tony Award, this was it. And then he hopped over to direct this season's "Skeleton Crew." BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICALCaroline, or ChangeCompanyThe Music Man. BEST CHOREOGRAPHYCamille A. BC: Not an easy one. Clarke was getting a lot of buzz earlier in the season. Why:Sharon D Clarke was incredible inCaroline, or Change, and Joaquina Kalukango is the one great thing inParadise Square, but Im keeping this fun/upsetting by goingagainstmy heart and acknowledging that Sutton Foster won the Drama League performance award and people adore her. I don't usually like to make. Saturday Night, Billy Crystal, Lowell Ganz, and Babaloo MandelParadise Square, Christina Anderson, Craig Lucas, and Larry KirwanA Strange Loop, Michael R. Jackson, Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre, Flying Over Sunset, Music: Tom Kitt, Lyrics: Michael KorieMr. PREDICT the 2022 Tony Awards now through June 12 Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. That matters. Lizzy Caplan Would Return for One More Season of. Sometimes I think he may need to see the Wizard for a heart. David Paymer (Mr. Terms of Service apply. Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical, Sharon D Clarke,Caroline, or ChangeCarmen Cusack,Flying Over SunsetSutton Foster,The Music ManJoaquina Kalukango,Paradise SquareMare Winningham,Girl From the North Country. Among the non-musicals, both lead actor and lead actress are toss-ups. Paradise Square 13/2, BEST BOOK 2022 Tony Awards Predictions: A 'Trilogy,' a 'Loop' and a thriller of a lead actor in a musical race. (But shouldnt Christopher Wheeldon share the award with Michael himself? Roy Wood Jr. Talks Scandals at White House Correspondents Dinner, Watching Frank Oceans Coachella Set Online Wont Be Easy. Here are the 2022 Tony Awards odds for some of the major categories. Girl From the North Country, Simon BakerSix: The Musical, Paul GatehouseCompany, Ian Dickinson for AutographA Strange Loop, Drew LevyMJ, Gareth Owen. In theory, knocking out a number of out-of-towners could diminish the strength of the road vote, that fabled group of tour presenters and producers who supposedly have much more populist leanings than the highfalutin locals. is a line of thinking that would stick with them. We say "nearly" because he's absolutely certain to win for Best Book (see below), and if voters want to give something to the popularSix, this would be one way to do it. (It also helps that she will be returning to Broadway next season in a revival ofDeath of a Salesman, which mitigates the relatively-unknown-British-actor factor.) Who will walk away with the hardware on Sunday night? IK:"MJ" definitely has a shot here, but I also think "A Strange Loop" will win. Lead actress, meanwhile, is one of the toughest categories to call. "The Minutes" really makes you think about our country, and its timing could not be more perfect. American Idol 21 predictions: Iam Tongi is early front-runner to win, but who will be eliminated from Top 12? The race:Even ifA Strange Loop loses Best Musical in an upset, Michael R. Jackson is nearly certain to win in this category. American Buffalo 14/1, BEST ACTRESS (PLAY) With nine nominations, nearly twice as many as any other new play. Brown, "for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf". By submitting your email, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy and to receive email correspondence from us. BC: Going with Devlin here. BC: If this were the MTV Awards, I'd give it to "Six." She's likely to grab a fourth this year, though her take onCompany is divisive enough for someone elselike Brackett or Wheeldonto nab the prize. BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICALJeannette Bayardelle,Girl From The North CountryShoshana Bean,Mr. Saturday NightJayne Houdyshell,The Music ManL Morgan Lee,A Strange LoopPatti LuPone,CompanyJennifer Simard,Company. BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICALSimon Baker,Girl from the North CountryIan Dickinsonfor Autograph,CompanyPaul Gatehouse,SixDrew Levy,A Strange LoopGareth Owen,MJ, BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAYJustin Ellington,for colored girlsMikhail Fiksel,Dana H.Palmer Hefferan,The Skin of Our TeethNick Powell,The Lehman TrilogyMikaal Sulaiman,Macbeth. Having said that, I loved "Caroline, Or Change" and "The Music Man. Odds are still on Devlin, but this will be close. If one of them will be indeed be left off the list, its Funny Girl that seems to have the most trouble drumming up support, and looks most likely to miss out here. Saturday Night, Music: Jason Robert Brown, Lyrics: Amanda GreenParadise Square, Music: Jason Howland, Lyrics: Nathan Tysen and Masi AsareSix: The Musical, Music and Lyrics: Toby Marlow and Lucy MossA Strange Loop, Music & Lyrics: Michael R. Jackson. You\'ll receive the next newsletter in your inbox. But even with all the (hyperlocal) hype, many view the edgy, unfiltered Strange Loop as a challenge to sell to audiences anywhere outside of the theater district. 1. Another busy Broadway season has drawn to a close and Tony nominations are just days away. The award for Best Book of a Musical is in the bag, but there could be a horse race for Best Score. I can live with either one. The Tony Awards take place at Radio City Music Hall on June 12. That said, this is deservedly a tough race. BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICALSharon D Clarke,Caroline, or ChangeCarmen Cusack,Flying Over SunsetSutton Foster,The Music ManJoaquina Kalukango,Paradise SquareMare Winningham,Girl from the North CountryThe race:It's a fight to the finish betweenCaroline, or Change's Sharon D Clarke andParadise Square'sJoaquina Kalukango, both of whom brought down their respective houses with 11-o'clock numbers. The theatrical event of the season is finally here! BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAYBeowulf Boritt,POTUSMichael Carnahan and Nicholas Hussong,Skeleton CrewEs Devlin,The Lehman TrilogyAnna Fleischle,HangmenScott Pask,American BuffaloAdam Rigg,The Skin of Our Teeth. The pool of people who vote for the Tony Awards is a small one and this year, its probably even smaller. BC: There is no doubt that Phylicia Rashad deserves this. MUSICALS BEST MUSICAL A Strange. How will nominators fill out the list? Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Thats true, too, of Six, in which each cast member gets equal time in the spotlight (and in which each of the six performers are eligible for lead actress in a musical). I hope "Caroline" takes it home. Why:TheLehmanmen are liable to split the vote (though Beale carries a lot of the dramatic weight and probably has the best shot), and the other likely candidate, Sam Rockwell, has a chance at the classic Thank you, movie star, for doing a serious part award (though that, again, requires an uphill battle against David Mamets idiocy), so we land on Morse, whose sad and terrifying performance inHow I Learned to Drivetwo decades down the road propels so much of the show. And amid it all, there were understudies, standbys, swings and ensembles long the backbone of productions, often thanklessly keeping the curtains up whenever possible. All Rights Reserved. 2023 Vox Media, LLC. How all that shifts voting trends, however, is tough to calculate. The Music Man 69/20 All rights reserved. I predict that Uzo Aduba. (I dont thinkGirl From the North Countryis going to make it. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in ourfamous forumswhere 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. 2023 Tony Awards slugfest: Final predictions for play nominations [WATCH], 2023 Tony Awards slugfest: Final predictions for musical nominations [WATCH], "I watched the first three episodes and my opinion is the same as", David. It goes without saying that Foster is dynamo. Culkin, Strong, and ", 2023 Emmy Predictions: Limited/Movie Categories (Part 7), 2023 Emmy Predictions: Comedy Categories (Part 10). Why:In this full lineupof Take Me Outstars (which seems to lack recognition for the best performance in the play, from Brandon Dirden! Musical. Review:The Lehman Trilogy opens on Broadway, telling the story of money and power. The 75th Annual Tony Awards is set to be held on June 12, 2022, to recognize achievement in Broadway productions during the 2021-22 season. Also of note this seasonwas the way that many showstied activism with art. But Beale, Godley and Rockwell all have a fighting chance. SIX 9/2 Best Play The Lehman Trilogy (-400) Hangmen (+300) The Minutes (+800) Clyde's (+1000) Skeleton Crew (+1200) For our first category on our Tony Awards betting guide, we have five nominees up for Best Play. Hes in whats really more of a lead role, and heresponded to a truly malicious video leakwith a commitment to the need for respect in the theater, earning him props among Broadway folk. [UPDATING LIVE BLOG], Im a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here! Winners List: All 22 Champs in Chronological Order [PHOTOS], Emmy spotlight: Yellowjackets costume designer Amy Parris deserves first nomination for that gnarly winter gear, Box office: Super Mario Bros. approaches $500 million and enters all-time Top 20. Sure, there will be five performers on the list up for lead actress in a musical, but right now, the contest looks like its between Sharon D. Clarke, for her volcanic turn in the title role of Caroline, or Change, and Joaquina Kalukango, who earned career-making raves even from the critics who gave her show, Paradise Square, a big thumbs-down. "Paradise Square" has some big numbers and a few strong performances but it also has some major flaws. Variety is a part of Penske Media Corporation. The 75th annual Tony Awards will be hosted byAriana DeBose and take place from 8 to 11 p.m. Eastern on Sunday, June 12, at Radio City Music Hall in New York City. The Will Win category simply lists my predictions in a hard-to-predict year . American Idol sets Disney Night 2023 for May 14, but what will Katy Perry wear? How I Learned to Drive 5/1 The 50 Best Movies of 2022, According to 165 Critics from Around the World Try another? Tuesday June 7 2022 After the weirdest Tony Awards in history last year, when prizes for an incomplete Broadway season were handed out in a tentative mostly-streaming ceremony, the Tonys. IK:There was one particular nomination I hoped to see for "Diana" (cough, Jeanna de Waal, cough) this wasn't it. Of the three, Simon Russell Beale gets my vote. The race:Best Musical is the Tonys'marquee race, andin 2022it boils down toa musical by Michael R. Jackson (A Strange Loop) versusone about Michael Jackson (MJ), with Sixas a potential spoiler. Matt Doyle (Company) 4/1 ), it still seems one of them is destined to win. BC: So I'm sure Jesse Tyler Ferguson will win, but I would pick Ron Cephas Jones as the zen-like chef in "Clyde's." Girl From the North CountryMJMr. Clarke has the edge,in part because her role is much better written. BC: None of these stand out for me. A Strange Loop 82/25. With the Tony Awards nominations being announced this week, so begins the season of predicting who will be taking home the coveted awards on June 12th. Following an 18-month shutdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Broadway came storming back. Among the other possible nominees, Foster (Music Man), Feldstein (Funny Girl) and Katrina Lenk (Company) are all in the mix, although given the mixed response to all three, one or maybe even two of those names could be left off the list. Jane Lynch (Funny Girl) 6/1 Brown,for colored girlsWarren Carlyle,The Music ManCarrie-Anne Ingrouille,SixBill T. Jones,Paradise SquareChristopher Wheeldon,MJ. They are Tracie Bennett ("Hangmen"), Blair Brown ("The Minutes"), Phylicia Rashad ("Skeleton Crew") and Johanna Day and Alyssa May Gold ("How I Learned to Drive"). Ferguson's biggest competition comes from Chuck Cooper, whobroughtTrouble in Mindto asomber halt. (Even if MJ misses best musical, the dance-heavy show is near certain to take the choreography award for Christopher Wheeldon.) Regardless of its moral unease,MJis so dazzlingly dance-forward, it seems like the favorite and this gives the voters a chance to recognize it somewhere because its unlikely to win anything else. BC: "A Strange Loop" will likely win, but I am tempted to give this oneto Derek McLane and Peter Nigrini. 2023 Variety Media, LLC. Sam Eckmann, David Buchanan Theater May 16, 2022 9:00AM Tony Awards The 2022 Tony Award nominations have been unveiled and, per. But we also think that the Tonys' new voter-portal set-upwhich (theoretically) only allows votes from people who have seen all five performancesworks to O'Connell's advantage; in previous seasons, the shortness ofDana H.'s run would havescuttled her chances. Tony regulations meant that only three of this seasons four musical revival have a shot at the Tony. BEST ACTOR IN A PLAYSimon Russell Beale,The Lehman TrilogyAdam Godley,The Lehman TrilogyAdrian Lester,The Lehman TrilogyDavid Morse,How I Learned to DriveSam Rockwell,American BuffaloRuben Santiago-Hudson,Lackawanna BluesDavid Threlfall,Hangmen. 18 min read. Jessica Frances Dukes (Trouble in Mind) 10/1, BEST FEATURED ACTOR (PLAY) If voters take the musical seriously, maybe theyll acknowledge him here, too. Starring LaChanze, the play also features Tony winner Chuck Cooper. 2022 Tony Award Winners Predictions tonys 2022 June 7, 2022 Some 100 Percent Correct 2022 Tony Awards Predictions By Jackson McHenry, a Vulture senior writer covering theater, film,. for colored girls 5/1 To be as clear as we possibly can: TONY is an acronym for Time . We expect another design win for the ace spectacularists ofThe Lehman Trilogy. Download our free and easy app forApple/iPhone devicesorAndroid (Google Play)to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. Joyce and Chris tackle the highs and lows of each show and see how the winners aged. Maybe. IK: While I think "Company," "A Strange Loop" and "Six" are all up there "Company" may very well take it home. 2022 Tony Awards Predictions #4 Posted: 1/20/22 at 8:39pm Winner predictions. Paradise Square 6/1 I am not responsible for any amount of money you lose or win by placing bets. We reveal what we think were . 4. Variety and the Flying V logos are trademarks of Variety Media, LLC. With Barry on the loose, all Gene, Fuches, Hank, and Sally can do is crumble as they wait to see who hes coming for first. I do think "A Strange Loop" will win it's like the "Rent" of its time (I also said that about "Spring Awakening" in 2007). Crystal, too, looks like a shoo-in, and so does Patti LuPone (Company). The story follows an experienced Black stage actress through rehearsals of a major Broadway production in Alice Childress' look at racism, identityand ego. 2022 Tony Awards predictions: Who will win on June 12? BESTORCHESTRATIONSDavid Cullan,CompanyTom Curran,SixSimon Hale,Girl from the North CountryCharlie Rosen,A Strange LoopJason Michael Webb and David Holcenberg,MJ. Read Next: How the Blindspotting Team Addresses Race Through Dance, Tony Predictions: Best Play Revival Fewer Candidates But a Surprisingly Competitive Race, Tony Predictions: Best Play Tom Stoppard, Pulitzer and Olivier Winners Vie for Five Spots, Tony Predictions: Best Musical Revival Encores! Daniel Bayer June 8, 2022 . The nominees will be announced May 9, on the Tony Award's official YouTubepage, at 6 a.m. PT/9 a.m. SIX 11/2 Mr. Saturday Night 6/1 While the theater community has always been a giving one, bringing attention to crucial causes, expanding accessibility and fighting for change has been at the forefront for many productions, and it's inspiring to see. The 75th Tony Awards, hosted by Ariana DeBose, follows at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT on CBS and Paramount+. Whos Going to the Met Gala Dressed as Karl Lagerfelds Cat? The race:Gabriella Slade's wild jewel-powersuits forSixwill probably win in this strong field,but Tazewell'sMJoutfitsand Loquasto's classicMusic Manduds are also strong contenders. David Morse (How I Learned to Drive) 9/2 BC: Strong work here by all the nominees, at least for certain scenes. BEST MUSICAL It's not perfect, but he worked for years on this"big, Black, queer-ass American musical." BC: I realize Patti LuPone will likely win, but L Morgan Lee in "A Strange Loop" makes more of an impact, and is by far more memorable. A Strange Loop 5/1 The 2023 Tony Awards nominations . Michelle Obama and Bruce Springsteen Tore Up the Stage with Glory Days. Hugh Jackman (The Music Man) 5/1 In the acting categories for plays, its all best guesses and no certainties. The Tony Awards eligibility cut-off date for the 2022-23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway productions which meet all other eligibility requirements. Bill Canacci can be reached at bcanacci@gannettnj.com. All rights reserved. Why:The whole experience depends on the crispness of the recorded audio and on your ability to believe those words are somehow in the mouth of the actor onstage. Password must be at least 8 characters and contain: As part of your account, youll receive occasional updates and offers from New York, which you can opt out of anytime. Besides all that, Sutton Foster recently took home the Drama League performance award, proving theres plenty of affection out there for her, too. The nominators leaned toward director Marianne Elliott's acclaimed, gender-swapped revival of Stephen Sondheim and George Furth's groundbreaking Company,and so will voters.
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